Wednesday, May 28, 2014

Misjudgement #7

“…And here, one of the cases the psychologists use is Kitty Genovese, where all these people

-- I don’t know, 50, 60, 70 of them -- just sort of sat and did nothing while she was slowly

murdered. Now one of the explanations is that everybody looked at everybody else and

nobody else was doing anything, and so there’s automatic social proof that the right thing

to do is nothing. That’s not a good enough explanation for Kitty Genovese, in my

judgment. That’s only part of it. There are microeconomic ideas and gain/loss ratios and

so forth that also come into play. I think time and time again, in reality, psychological

notions and economic notions interplay, and the man who doesn’t understand both is a

damned fool.

 

Big-shot businessmen get into these waves of social proof. Do you remember some years

ago when one oil company bought a fertilizer company, and every other major oil

company practically ran out and bought a fertilizer company? And there was no more

damned reason for all these oil companies to buy fertilizer companies, but they didn’t

know exactly what to do, and if Exxon was doing it, it was good enough for Mobil, and

vice versa. I think they’re all gone now, but it was a total disaster. “

via: Munger