Friday, August 1, 2014
Thursday, July 31, 2014
Charlie Munger surfer investing
“Then there’s another model from microeconomics which I find very interesting. When
technology moves as fast as it does in a civilization like ours, you get a phenomenon
which I call competitive destruction. You know, you have the finest buggy whip factory
and all of a sudden in comes this little horseless carriage. And before too many years
go by, your buggy whip business is dead. You either get into a different business or
you’re dead—you’re destroyed. It happens again and again and again.
And when these new businesses come in, there are huge advantages for the early birds.
And when you're an early bird, there's a model that I call "surfing" – when a surfer gets
up and catches the wave and just stays there, he can go a long, long time. But if he gets
off the wave, he becomes mired in shallows...
But people get long runs when they're right on the edge of the wave whether it's
Microsoft or Intel or all kinds of people, including National Cash Register in the early
days.
The cash register was one of the great contributions to civilization. It's a wonderful
story. Patterson was a small retail merchant who didn't make any money. One day,
somebody sold him a crude cash register that he put into his retail operation. And it
instantly changed from losing money to earning a profit because it made it so much
harder for the employees to steal... But Patterson, having the kind of mind that he did,
didn't think, "Oh, good for my retail business." He thought, "I'm going into the cash
register business." And, of course, he created National Cash Register.
And he "surfed." He got the best distribution system, the biggest collection of patents and
the best of everything. He was a fanatic about everything important as the technology
developed. I have in my files an early National Cash Register Company report in which
Patterson described his methods and objectives. And a well-educated orangutan could
see that buying into partnership with Patterson in those early days, given his notions
about the cash register business, was a total 100% cinch.
And, of course, that's exactly what an investor should be looking for. In a long life,
you can expect to profit heavily from at least a few of those opportunities if you develop
the wisdom and will to seize them.”
Wednesday, July 30, 2014
Sunday, July 27, 2014
Great teams and lousy markets
Saturday, July 26, 2014
Weekend Links
How the Other Half Works: an Adventure in the Low Status of Software Engineers http://michaelochurch.wordpress.com/2014/07/13/how-the-other-half-works-an-adventure-in-the-low-status-of-software-engineers/?src=longreads …
Why Poor Schools Can’t Win at Standardized Testing http://www.theatlantic.com/features/archive/2014/07/why-poor-schools-cant-win-at-standardized-testing/374287/?src=longreads …
Lunch with the FT: Vikram Pandit http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/2/e4f1c550-0762-11e4-81c6-00144feab7de.html#axzz38Rm94SHP …
“Burger King Is Run by Children” — http://ift.tt/1pfzHzq (Businessweek)
I'm Ira Glass, Host of This American Life, and This Is How I Work http://lifehacker.com/im-ira-glass-host-of-this-american-life-and-this-is-h-1609562031 …
Does This Make Me Sound Insecure? http://www.slate.com/articles/health_and_science/science/2014/07/insecurity_in_language_psychology_of_how_words_reveal_self_doubt.single.html …
Don't Send Your Kid to the Ivy League http://www.newrepublic.com/article/118747/ivy-league-schools-are-overrated-send-your-kids-elsewhere …
Ask the Sexpert: The 90-year-old sex guru http://www.bbc.com/news/magazine-28353027 …
Off my table, you damn Carnivore! http://www.openthemagazine.com/article/living/off-my-table-you-damn-
The twenty stories in 60 minutes podcast : http://feeds.thisamericanlife.org/talpodcast
Tuesday, July 22, 2014
Sunday, July 20, 2014
On old age
"Fruits are most welcome when almost over; youth is most charming at its close; the last drink delights the toper, the glass which souses him and puts the finishing touch on his drunkenness. Each pleasure reserves to the end the greatest delights which it contains.
Life is most delightful when it is on the downward slope, but has not yet reached the abrupt decline."
Saturday, July 19, 2014
Weekend Longform Linkfest
8 Rare Gems from Heidi Roizen on Building a Fulfilling Life and Career http://firstround.com/article/8-Rare-Gems-from-Heidi-Roizen-on-Building-a-Fulfilling-Life-and-Career …
Douglas Coupland: Duelling nationalities http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/2/80213c26-0d3b-11e4-bcb2-00144feabdc0.html#axzz37vYv6KzM …
Why the Myers-Briggs test is totally meaningless http://www.vox.com/2014/7/15/5881947/myers-briggs-personality-test-meaningless …
Alpha addict: The amazing career of Leon Cooperman http://www.cnbc.com/id/101823194
On 'Late'-In-Life Virginity Loss http://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2014/03/on-late-in-life-virginity-loss/284412/ …
How to Write a Cover Letter, According to Great Artists http://www.theatlantic.com/entertainment/archive/2014/07/how-to-write-a-cover-letter-according-to-leonardo-da-vinci/374669/ …
10 Life Lessons From a Navy SEAL http://www.farnamstreetblog.com/2014/05/10-life-lessons-william-mcraven/ …
Investment Lessons Learned: Mistakes Made Over 47 Years http://cdn1.valuewalk.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/GMO_QtlyLetter_2Q14.pdf …
Gates Favorite - Business Adventures Full Chapter 5- Xerox http://stks.co/q0Y8V $
Tim Ferris' rules for travel : http://fourhourworkweek.com/2013/07/14/how-to-travel-21-contrarian-rules/ …
Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella Talk With Walter Issacson [VIDEO] http://www.valuewalk.com/2014/07/satya-nadella-interview/ …
Carl Icahn And Bill Ackman Talk Investing, Hug [VIDEO] http://www.valuewalk.com/2014/07/carl-icahn-bill-ackman-talk-investing-hug-video/ …
Bill Nye the science guy AMA http://www.reddit.com/r/IAmA/comments/2arlx5/i_am_bill_nye_the_science_guy_and_ceo_of_the/ …
Steven Leuthold: The Contrarian's Contrarian: http://youtu.be/XpbtVK1BYo0 via @YouTube
Cheap at sea, pricey on the plate: The voodoo of lobster economics http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/national/my-travels-with-larry/article19557387/ …
The secret writings of Isaac Newton http://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/science-and-technology/the-secret-writings-of-isaac-newton …
How To Price a Forest, and Other Economics Problems http://nautil.us/issue/15/turbulence/how-to-price-a-forest-and-other-economics-problems …
The Joy of Exercising in Moderation http://www.theatlantic.com/health/print/2014/07/the-joy-of-exercising-in-moderation/373373/ …


